<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing with OASIS Tables v3.0 20080202//EN" "journalpub-oasis3.dtd">
<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:oasis="http://docs.oasis-open.org/ns/oasis-exchange/table" xml:lang="en" dtd-version="3.0"><?xmltex \bartext{Science Reports}?>
  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">SD</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Scientific Drilling</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">SD</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Sci. Dril.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1816-3459</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/sd-26-1-2019</article-id><title-group><article-title>Scientific drilling of Lake Chalco, Basin of<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> Mexico (MexiDrill)</article-title><alt-title>Scientific drilling of Lake Chalco, Basin of Mexico</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Scientific drilling of Lake Chalco, Basin of Mexico}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{E. T. Brown et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Brown</surname><given-names>Erik T.</given-names></name>
          <email>etbrown@d.umn.edu</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7154-2729</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Caballero</surname><given-names>Margarita</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-0773</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Cabral Cano</surname><given-names>Enrique</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff3">
          <name><surname>Fawcett</surname><given-names>Peter J.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff4">
          <name><surname>Lozano-García</surname><given-names>Socorro</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Ortega</surname><given-names>Beatriz</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff5">
          <name><surname>Pérez</surname><given-names>Liseth</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5256-3070</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff5">
          <name><surname>Schwalb</surname><given-names>Antje</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4628-1958</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff6">
          <name><surname>Smith</surname><given-names>Victoria</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Steinman</surname><given-names>Byron A.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Stockhecke</surname><given-names>Mona</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5478-9540</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff7">
          <name><surname>Valero-Garcés</surname><given-names>Blas</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2214-7057</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff8">
          <name><surname>Watt</surname><given-names>Sebastian</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Wattrus</surname><given-names>Nigel J.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff9">
          <name><surname>Werne</surname><given-names>Josef P.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7019-6024</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff10">
          <name><surname>Wonik</surname><given-names>Thomas</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff11">
          <name><surname>Myrbo</surname><given-names>Amy E.</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff11">
          <name><surname>Noren</surname><given-names>Anders J.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5604-1085</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff11">
          <name><surname>O'Grady</surname><given-names>Ryan</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff11">
          <name><surname>Schnurrenberger</surname><given-names>Douglas</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff12">
          <name><surname>the MexiDrill Team</surname><given-names/></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Large Lakes Observatory &amp; Dept. of Earth and Environmental Sciences,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> University of Minnesota Duluth, Duluth, MN 55812, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de
México, Mexico City, 04510, Mexico</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Department of Earth and Planetary Science, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87131, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff4"><label>4</label><institution>Instituto de Geología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de
México, Mexico City, 04510, Mexico</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff5"><label>5</label><institution>Institut für Geosysteme und Bioindikation, Technische
Universität Braunschweig,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> 38106 Braunschweig, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff6"><label>6</label><institution>Research Laboratory for Archaeology and the History of Art, University of Oxford, OX1 3TG, Oxford, UK</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff7"><label>7</label><institution>Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología, Agencia Consejo Superior de
Investigaciones Científicas,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> Avda Montañana 1005, 50059 Zaragoza, Spain</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff8"><label>8</label><institution>School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> University of Birmingham, B15 2TT, Birmingham, UK</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff9"><label>9</label><institution>Department of Geology and Environmental Science, University of
Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA 15260, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff10"><label>10</label><institution>Leibniz-Institut für Angewandte Geophysik, Stilleweg 2, 30655
Hannover, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff11"><label>11</label><institution>LacCore and Continental Scientific Drilling Coordination Office,
Department of Earth Sciences,<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> University of Minnesota Twin Cities,
Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff12"><label>*</label><institution>A full list of authors and their affiliations appears at the end of the paper.</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Erik T. Brown (etbrown@d.umn.edu)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>2</day><month>December</month><year>2019</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>26</volume>
      <fpage>1</fpage><lpage>15</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>15</day><month>July</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>9</day><month>September</month><year>2019</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>14</day><month>October</month><year>2019</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2019 </copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2019</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://sd.copernicus.org/articles/.html">This article is available from https://sd.copernicus.org/articles/.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://sd.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://sd.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>
    <p id="d1e347">The primary scientific objective of MexiDrill, the Basin of Mexico
Drilling Program, is development of a continuous, high-resolution
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">400</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> kyr lacustrine record of tropical North American
environmental change. The field location, in the densely populated,
water-stressed Mexico City region gives this record particular societal
relevance. A detailed paleoclimate reconstruction from central Mexico will
enhance our understanding of long-term natural climate variability in the
North American tropics and its relationship with changes at higher latitudes.
The site lies at the northern margin of the Intertropical Convergence Zone
(ITCZ), where modern precipitation amounts are influenced by sea surface
temperatures in the Pacific and Atlantic basins. During the Last Glacial
Maximum (LGM), more winter precipitation at the site is hypothesized to have been
a consequence of a southward displacement of the mid-latitude westerlies. It
thus represents a key spatial node for understanding large-scale
hydrological variability of tropical and subtropical North America and is
at an altitude (2240 m a.s.l.), typical of much of western North America. In addition, its sediments contain a rich record of pre-Holocene volcanic
history; knowledge of the magnitude and frequency relationships of the
area's explosive volcanic eruptions will improve capacity for risk
assessment of future activity. Explosive eruption deposits will also be used
to provide the backbone of a robust chronology necessary for full
exploitation of the paleoclimate record. Here we report initial results
from, and outreach activities of, the 2016 coring campaign.</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

      <p id="d1e362"><disp-quote>
  <?pagebreak page2?><p id="d1e365">Much is being written about climate change and the impact of rising seas on waterfront populations. But coasts are not the only places affected. Mexico City – high in the mountains, in the center of the country – is a glaring example.</p>
</disp-quote>“Mexico City, Parched and Sinking, Faces a Water Crisis”
by Michael Kimmelman, The New York Times, 17 February 2017.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e377">Understanding causal mechanisms of past rapid global climate change is a key
problem in paleoclimate research, critical for evaluating impacts of ongoing
and future trends. In particular, the role of the tropics in climate shifts
remains poorly understood; the interplay of extratropical conditions,
including interhemispheric temperature gradients, with tropical climate
change remains an area of ongoing research (Chiang, 2009; Chiang and
Friedman, 2012; Abram et al., 2016). To evaluate the role of low latitudes
in initiating and propagating (or responding to) global changes, we need
information regarding the geographic distribution and timing of abrupt
changes in the tropics, including records that help characterize Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)
variability. The MexiDrill program's objectives include obtaining records of
temperature and precipitation/evaporation variability and the response of
terrestrial vegetation as well as aquatic flora and fauna to these changes
to examine climate and ecosystem evolution on millennial to Milankovitch
timescales. The field location is adjacent to Mexico City, one of the
world's greatest population centers, which is vulnerable to changing
hydrological balance. It is dependent on groundwater withdrawal for
municipal use – this has led to significant ongoing subsidence – while also
suffering from surface flooding.</p>
      <p id="d1e380">The Mexico City region is subject to a range of volcanic hazards (e.g., Arce
et al., 2005, 2013; Siebe et al., 2006, 2017), so the long archive of
volcanic eruptions gives this record particular societal relevance.
Explosive eruption deposits will be used to provide the backbone of a robust
chronology necessary for full exploitation of the Chalco paleoclimate
record. Current knowledge of pre-Holocene volcanic activity in the region is
poor, and the new chronological work will also allow determination of the
relationships between magnitude and frequency of explosive volcanic
eruptions, providing a framework for risk assessment of future activity. The
length of the Chalco sediment record provides a unique archive of regional
volcanism: current knowledge of explosive eruptions is limited by sparse
subaerial exposures and is non-existent beyond the latest Pleistocene. The
new record will enable us to assess frequency patterns across the spectrum
of regional volcanic hazards by drawing on a much longer and
higher-resolution record of past activity. It will also enable us to
evaluate how the region's stratovolcanoes, including Toluca and
Popocatepetl, developed through time, and will provide insights into how the
nature and long-term frequency of mafic eruptions in the Chichinautzin
volcanic field (cf. Arce et al., 2013) have developed through time.</p>
      <p id="d1e383">The Chalco sediment record will enable us to examine climate change,
especially in hydrologic balance, on multiple timescales, including the following.
<list list-type="custom"><list-item><label>i.</label>
      <p id="d1e388"><italic>Glacial–interglacial variation in moisture balance</italic>. Prior studies of regional lake records suggest an influence of westerlies
at 19–17 ka, bringing winter precipitation and mitigating otherwise
extremely dry conditions (Bradbury, 2000; Metcalfe et al., 2007;
Correa-Metrio et al., 2012). Similarly, Vasquez-Selem and Heine (2011) noted
glacial expansion at the Last Glacial
Maximum (LGM), with an associated 6–7<inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
temperature decrease. Vasquez-Selem and Heine (2011) suggest westerlies as
the moisture source, which is consistent with findings of a reduced NAM
during the LGM by Bhattacharya et al. (2017). We hypothesize that during
glacial maxima the Laurentide Ice Sheet influenced westerlies and associated
storm tracks to enhance moisture inputs to central Mexico, likely in
combination with decreased evaporation associated with lower temperatures,
analogous to LGM conditions.</p></list-item><list-item><label>ii.</label>
      <p id="d1e403"><italic>Variation of moisture balance among glacial periods.</italic> Preliminary diatom (e.g., presence of <italic>Stephanodiscus niagarae</italic>) and sedimentological evidence implies
that during MIS 6, Lake Chalco was colder and fresher than during MIS 2,
consistent with evidence that regional glaciation at MIS 6 was <inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">50</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> % greater in areal extent than LGM glaciation (Vasquez-Selem and Heine,
2011). The new deep Chalco sediment cores will enable us to investigate
whether earlier glacial periods (e.g., MIS 6, 8, and possibly 10) were wetter
than the LGM and how much hydrologic variability there was between these
different glacial periods.</p></list-item><list-item><label>iii.</label>
      <p id="d1e422"><italic>Precessional response.</italic> Precession-driven insolation in subtropical zones typically leads to
greater precipitation at times of increased regional insolation. We
hypothesize that Lake Chalco's response to precession was most pronounced
during insolation maxima within warmer interglacials (e.g., MIS 5e vs. MIS 7c
and e). We can also investigate whether insolation maxima during glacial
periods were sufficient to draw the ITCZ further north, increasing
precipitation in the Basin of Mexico (BoM).</p></list-item><list-item><label>iv.</label>
      <p id="d1e428"><italic>Millennial-scale response.</italic> The BoM is within a regional gradient in a millennial-scale climate,
at times showing sensitivity to ITCZ migration (analogous to Lago Petén
Itzá and the Cariaco Basin) and at other times<?pagebreak page3?> responding to shifts in
locations of westerlies (like the Santa Barbara Basin, Cave of the Bells, and
Fort Stanton Cave). The MexiDrill core will provide opportunities to compare
MIS 2–4 (hypothesized to be drier glacial periods) with MIS 6 and 8
(hypothesized to be wetter glacial periods) to examine the amplitude of
millennial-scale events, how they are reflected in a range of proxies, and
how millennial-scale variability is expressed at each of the terminations.
We hypothesize that millennial-scale variability during glacial terminations
was similar at Terminations I, II, and III, as suggested by the synthetic
record of the Greenland climate (Barker et al., 2011).</p></list-item><list-item><label>v.</label>
      <p id="d1e434"><italic>Volcanic history.</italic> Volcaniclastic deposits in the Chalco core are likely to be dominated by
tephra fall deposits, based on past research in the area (Ortega-Guerrero
and Newton, 1998). Felsic deposits are likely to be derived predominantly
from large explosive eruption deposits from the Nevado de Toluca and
Popocatépetl stratovolcanoes, with several possible additional regional
sources and mafic deposits from the monogenetic centers of the nearby
Sierra Chichinautzin volcanic field. These tephra deposits can be used to
explore the long-term development of these contrasting volcanic systems on
10<inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">4</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>–10<inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">5</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>-year timescales. By identifying sources of deposits
throughout the core, we will establish whether systematic variation in
eruption frequency or composition has characterized the growth of these
volcanoes. Has activity in the Sierra Chichinautzin field been stable or
episodic, and how does Holocene activity fit into this pattern? Is there
cyclicity (or are there major shifts) in the pattern of explosive eruptions at
Popocatépetl and Nevado de Toluca, and is this linked to currently
recognized periods of edifice growth and destruction (cf. Siebe et al.,
2017)?</p></list-item></list></p>
<sec id="Ch1.S1.SS1">
  <label>1.1</label><title>Site description</title>
      <p id="d1e464">The BoM (19<inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>30<inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, 99<inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>W; 9600 km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, 2240 m a.s.l.) is
a hydrologically closed basin in the TransMexican Volcanic Belt (TMVB,
Figs. 1–2). The emergence of the southern Chichinautzin volcanic field
since 1.0 Ma (Arce et al., 2013) has been linked to closure of the basin and
development of a lake system. Continued subsidence of this intermontane
basin accommodated the accumulation of hundreds of meters of lacustrine
sediments (Ortiz Zamora and Ortega Guerrero, 2010). Lake Chalco, the
location of the MexiDrill site, was the southernmost of these lakes; its
proximity to the volcanic peaks that contain the headwaters of streams
feeding the lakes has made it the freshest of the lakes and likely the
location of the most continuous sedimentation. Mexico City (then called
Tenochtitlan) was established by the Aztecs in the 1300s on an island in the
center of Lago de Texcoco (to the north of Chalco). In more recent times,
the hydraulic regime of the BoM was heavily modified, lowering the water
table to improve flood control, accommodate agricultural expansion, and
provide water for urban development. The plain of Lake Chalco, located in
the southeasternmost sub-basin of the BoM (Fig. 1), has an area of 120 km<inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (Caballero and Ortega Guerrero, 1998), though the lake has been
reduced to a shallow marshy remnant (Caballero Miranda, 1997).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d1e514">Site map of the Basin of Mexico, showing the extent of the
paleolake (flat magenta areas), the developed areas of the megalopolis, and
locations of coring sites in Chalco (black box).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://sd.copernicus.org/articles/26/1/2019/sd-26-1-2019-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><fig id="Ch1.F2"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d1e525">Locations of long paleoclimate records from the northern tropics
and subtropics of the Americas and correlation among regional precipitation
patterns. 1. Santa Barbara Basin (ODP site 893); 2. Cave of the Bells, AZ;
3. Valles Caldera, NM; 4. Lake Chalco, Mexico; 5. Lago Petén Itzá,
Guatemala; 6. Panama Basin (ODP 677B); 7. Nicaragua Rise (ODP 999A); 8. Cariaco Basin (ODP site 1002); 9. Terciopelo Cave, Costa Rica. Red and blue
shading depicts the correlation (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:mi>r</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) between annual precipitation at Chalco
and all the other locations (1901–2013 CE; 10-year low-pass filter; 0.5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
spatial resolution). The precipitation data are the mean of three gridded
products: University of Delaware v5.01 (Willmott and Matsuura, 2001); Global
Precipitation Climatology Center V7 (Schneider et al., 2016); and University
of East Anglia CRU TS v. 4.03 (Harris et al., 2014).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=227.622047pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://sd.copernicus.org/articles/26/1/2019/sd-26-1-2019-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e551">An array of climate systems affects central and southern Mexico. Episodic
northward surges of the ITCZ bring summer rains (Metcalfe et al., 2015).
This circulation is distinct from that of the North American Monsoon (NAM).
The BoM thus contrasts with northern Mexico and areas of the southwestern
USA where the NAM delivers summer precipitation (greater than 60 % of the
annual total) driven by land surface heating and convection on the high
topography (Adams and Comrie, 1997). Modest winter season precipitation in
central and southern Mexico is often associated with the southward
penetration of mid-latitude frontal systems, locally known as “Nortes”
(Reding, 1992; Pérez et al., 2014; Stahle et al., 2016).</p>
      <p id="d1e554">Interannual variability of climate over Mexico is strongly influenced by
ocean–atmosphere interactions, including the El Niño–Southern Oscillation
(ENSO), the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), and the Pacific Decadal
Oscillation (PDO) (Magaña et al., 2003; Metcalfe et al., 2015; Stahle et
al., 2016). Of all of these, ENSO has the strongest impact both in magnitude
and stability of the teleconnection between sea surface temperatures and
precipitation, but varies with both latitude and season. El Niño is
associated with wet winters in the north but with drier summers over
southern Mexico including the BoM (Magaña et al., 2003). The net result
of these interactions is that modern precipitation in the BoM varies with
northern Mexico and the southwestern USA on annual and interannual timescales, when
ENSO and PDO have significant impacts. However, when a 20-year low-pass filter
removes those influences, BoM precipitation is distinct from both regions
(Fig. 2).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S1.SS2">
  <label>1.2</label><title>Prior work</title>
      <p id="d1e566">The potential value of the Chalco Basin sediment archive has been recognized
for decades (e.g., Sears and Clisby, 1952; Bradbury, 1989), and a number
of previous studies demonstrated the sensitivity of the system to climate
changes, particularly to regional hydrological balance. These studies
primarily focused on the past 40 kyr, utilizing rock magnetism and pollen and
diatom distributions to reconstruct paleoenvironmental conditions (Bradbury,
1989; Lozano García et al., 1993; Lozano García and Ortega
Guerrero, 1994; Urrutia Fucugauchi et al., 1994, 1995; Lozano García and
Xelhuantzi López, 1997; Caballero Miranda, 1997; Caballero and Ortega
Guerrero, 1998). Broadly, these studies indicate that lake level was highest
prior to 35 ka, shallowed from 30 to 22.5 ka, and deepened from 22.5 to 10 ka, with maximum post-LGM freshening between 14 and 10 ka. During the early
Holocene, the lake became shallow and marshy (consistent<?pagebreak page4?> with the general
drying trend of central Mexico; Metcalfe et al., 2000). More recently,
Lozano-García et al. (2015) identified millennial-scale rainfall
variability in the Chalco Basin during MIS 3, observing that regional runoff
was lower during the LGM than during deglaciation, which contrasts with some
other regional records such as Lago Petén Itzá (Hodell et al.,
2008). Torres-Rodríguez et al. (2015) developed an 85 kyr record of
drought and related fire history recorded in Chalco sediments showing
increased fire frequency during MIS 3 in association with higher spring
insolation. Finally, Correa-Metrio et al. (2013) demonstrate that Chalco and
Petén Itzá both have similar post-LGM rapid warming histories and
that the velocity of climate change at that time was one-fourth that of the
last 50 years.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>Site surveys</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <label>2.1</label><title>Deep borehole surveys</title>
      <p id="d1e585">Earlier characterization of deep BoM sediments was motivated by a need to
understand the basin's structure for evaluation of seismic hazards and of
groundwater resource sustainability. After the 1985 Mexico City earthquake,
five deep (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> km) boreholes were drilled to characterize
sediments and underlying volcanic sequences in the BoM, and to evaluate the
Cretaceous carbonate basement. Analyses of well cuttings showed that the
uppermost section, a lacustrine sequence of volcanic ash and sand
intercalated with clays, is present across the BoM with a variable thickness
up to 300 m. These surveys also indicated the presence of a<?pagebreak page5?> deeper
lacustrine sequence, 100–200 m in thickness, composed of gravels, clayey
sands, and marls as well as granular volcanic material below an intervening
volcanic unit (composed of Pliocene and Quaternary tuffs, lavas, and
conglomerates). This lower sequence forms the Chalco Aquifer (Krivochieva
and Chouteau, 2003). The survey found the thickest sedimentary pile at the
Tulyehualco-1 borehole, located at the western end of the Chalco Basin,
leading subsequent researchers to target that locale for further study.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <label>2.2</label><title>Geophysical surveys for drill site selection</title>
      <p id="d1e606">Seismic reflection surveys are a commonly used approach for selecting a
drill site location with a long undisturbed record of continuous deposition.
In lacustrine or marine conditions, acquisition of suitable seismic
reflection data is a relatively straightforward exercise. Depending upon the
depth of the target, suitable images of the sedimentary section can be
easily achieved using either single-channel or multi-channel marine seismic
surveying techniques. Collecting multi-channel seismic reflection data on
land is far more challenging. Unlike the marine environment where the source
and receivers are deployed in a relatively homogenous medium (the water
column), on land the near-surface material is typically heterogeneous, often
significantly negatively impacting the propagation of seismic energy.</p>
      <p id="d1e609">In the Chalco sub-basin, the near-surface conditions have been severely
impacted by the intensive agricultural development of the area. This
resulted in significant reworking and amendment of unconsolidated
near-surface soils and sediment. As a consequence it is difficult for
surface-deployed seismic sources to couple sufficient energy into the
underlying sediments to collect any meaningful seismic reflection data.
Under such conditions, collection of high-quality seismic reflection data
would require that the source (and possibly the geophones) be buried below
the disturbed near-surface. Alternatively, <italic>Vibroseis</italic> vibrator trucks could inject
energy into the underlying basin to produce meaningful reflections.
Collecting the survey using either of these approaches would not have been
feasible, as they would have entailed a field cost comparable to that of the
actual drilling program.</p>
      <p id="d1e615">We undertook a seismic reflection survey in 2011, with a strategy of using a
<italic>Mini-Sosie</italic> source composed of an array of earth compactors to generate a randomly swept
signal that could be processed in a similar fashion to <italic>Vibroseis</italic> surveys. However,
once this survey was initiated it became apparent that the source was not
capable of generating sufficient energy to pass through the unconsolidated
and disturbed upper sections of Chalco sediments and produce meaningful
reflections. Ultimately, the survey was acquired using a <italic>PEG-40</italic> source, which
generates seismic energy by striking a metal plate with an accelerated mass.
The shot records produced by this source were significantly better than
those generated by the <italic>Mini-Sosie</italic>, but still yielded few reflections and did not
produce satisfactory survey results.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <label>2.3</label><title>Other geophysical techniques</title>
      <p id="d1e638">The inherent difficulty in utilizing standard seismic reflection techniques
in this setting led us to employ a suite of non-traditional geophysical
techniques to build a consistent picture of sediment thicknesses across the
Chalco Basin. These techniques – subsidence mapping, gravity surveys, and
passive seismic surveys – do not provide information on continuity of
sedimentation or the presence of faults offsetting the sediments, but
provided a consistent body of evidence that indicated a maximum sediment
thickness of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">300</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m at the identified drilling location. In
addition, transient electromagnetic (TEM) and magnetotelluric (MT) soundings
undertaken at the time of the 2016 drilling campaign (Bücker et al.,
2017) provide similar conclusions.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d1e653">Thickness of the lacustrine sedimentary package below the Chalco
sub-basin calculated from resonance frequencies determined from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>H</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> spectral
ratios. Red and orange lines represent contacts between the lacustrine and
transitional geotechnical zones and between the transitional and the
hillslope geotechnical zones, respectively (Gobierno del Distrito Federal,
2004). Water wells with known sediment thicknesses (Ortiz Zamora and Ortega
Guerrero, 2010; green dots) were used as calibration points for individual
passive seismic measurements (white dots). The color scale (blue–white–red)
represents thicknesses of 0 (blue) to more than 300 (red) meters. The contour
interval is 10 m. The selected drill site (yellow star) was where this survey
indicated the thickest sediment pile, just to the south of the existing
lake. © 2012 GeoEye and © Google Earth.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://sd.copernicus.org/articles/26/1/2019/sd-26-1-2019-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e674"><list list-type="bullet">
            <list-item>

      <p id="d1e679"><italic>Subsidence mapping.</italic> Since the 1950s several areas of Mexico City, including the Chalco
sub-basin, have experienced notable surface subsidence resulting from
groundwater withdrawal for municipal needs that has caused the water table
to drop. Subsidence rates are broadly correlative with the thickness of
lacustrine sediment sequences and may thus be used to evaluate relative
depth to basement across the basin. Combined interferometric synthetic
aperture radar (InSAR) and GPS data reveal that parts of Mexico City have
experienced subsidence rates that exceed 350 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (Cabral Cano et al.,
2008, 2010). In the Chalco sub-basin these rates exceed
200 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and indicate maximal sediment thickness near the center of the
basin (Fig. 3).</p>
            </list-item>
            <list-item>

      <p id="d1e711"><italic>Gravity surveys.</italic> Bouguer gravity anomaly maps produced by Enrique Cabral Cano (personal communication, 2014) as
part of a recent reinterpretation of 1950s vintage regional gravity data
from the Valley of Mexico (Hernández-Moedano and Grauel, 1954) suggest
that the study area is underlain by more than 300 m of sediment that fill an
E–W trough. This has been interpreted as a graben bounded on the north by
the Sierra Santa Catarina and Cerro de la Estrella and to the south by a
horst-shaped block composed of the Teuhtli and Xitle volcanoes
(Campos-Enriquez et al., 1997).</p>
            </list-item>
            <list-item>

      <p id="d1e719"><italic>Passive seismic</italic> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>H</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <italic>spectral ratios.</italic> In conjunction with our 2011 seismic reflection survey, we undertook a
passive seismic <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>H</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> spectral ratio survey (Nogoshi and Igarashi, 1971;
Nakamura, 1989) across the Chalco Basin. Three-component recordings of the
ambient seismic wavefield were made at locations in the field area. The
seismic response of the sediment pile illuminated by the seismic energy is
not uniform; it resonates at specific frequencies that are tied to the
seismic properties of the sediments and the thickness of the sediment<?pagebreak page6?> pile.
The ratio between the Fourier amplitude spectra of the horizontal (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:mi>H</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) to
vertical (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mi>V</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) components of the ambient noise vibrations recorded at a common
location can be used to identify the resonance frequency of the sediment
package below the observation point (SESAME, 2005). We developed a
calibration function by recording resonance frequencies at a series of water
wells where the depth to the base of the lacustrine sediment package was
known. We then measured resonance at grid points across the basin to
construct a map of sediment thickness (Fig. 3), which shows maximal
thicknesses in the areas indicated by subsidence mapping and gravity
anomalies.</p>
            </list-item>
          </list></p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d1e770">Field images mosaic. Panels <bold>(a)</bold> and <bold>(b)</bold> are southeastward views from the field area showing the prominent stratovolcanoes Iztaccihuatl and Popcatépetl, which are, respectively, to the left and the right in these images. Panel <bold>(c)</bold> is a west-southwest view from the drill site
looking toward Teuhtli volcano, one of the cones within the Sierra
Chichinautzin volcanic field. Panel <bold>(d)</bold> is a northeasterly view of the Chalco Basin
with the drill rig.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://sd.copernicus.org/articles/26/1/2019/sd-26-1-2019-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><title>Drilling, logging, and onsite operations</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <label>3.1</label><title>Drilling and onsite operations</title>
      <p id="d1e807">During the 2016 ICDP Mexidrill drilling campaign, three long drill cores
(1A, 1B, 1C; see Table 1) were retrieved in the Chalco Basin, recovering the
entire lacustrine sequence (upper 300 m) and continuing into the volcanic
basement, down to 522 m total depth (Fig. 7). A suitable drilling site was identified
in the agricultural fields in the Tulyehualco district, near the depocenter
of the lake basin. Drilling was performed by Major Drilling de Mexico S.A.,
using a truck-mounted Boart Longyear LF90 rig with standard Boart Longyear
HQ3 wireline diamond coring tools (Fig. 4); 1.5 m long core sections of 61 mm diameter were collected in polycarbonate liners. HWT casing was advanced
as needed to<?pagebreak page7?> stabilize the formation during continued drilling, and later
retrieved, and drill fluid returns were processed in a centrifuge to
separate solids and allow recirculation. All drilling used municipal water
delivered to the site, with a tracer added to allow post-drilling assessment
of fluid contamination in the core samples (Friese et al., 2017). Drilling
operations began on 23 February 2016 and concluded on 30 March 2016, in two
daily shifts of 12 h each. To improve recovery in the uppermost soft
sediments, an additional shallow fourth hole (1D) was cored by hand on 1–2 April 2016 with a Usinger-type percussion corer (Mingram et al., 2007), with
cores extruded into secondary liners.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><?pagebreak page8?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><label>Table 1</label><caption><p id="d1e813">Summary data for drilling sites and cores.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="9">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Borehole ID</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Borehole</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Latitude</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Longitude</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Elevation</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Total depth</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Cored length</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Recovery</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Recovery</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">IGSN</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">(m)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">(m)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">(m)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">(m)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">(%)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">MEXI-CHA16-1A</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">CDR0004DR</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">19.25718</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">98.97549</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">2227</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">423</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">423</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">373</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">88 %</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">MEXI-CHA16-1B</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">CDR0004DS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">19.25718</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">98.97554</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">2227</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">313</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">313</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">286</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">91 %</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">MEXI-CHA16-1C</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">CDR0004DT</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">19.25733</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">98.97560</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">2227</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">522</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">425</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">392</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">92 %</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">MEXI-CHA16-1D</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">CDR0004DU</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">19.25707</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">98.97541</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">2227</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">19</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">19</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">17</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">91 %</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Total</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1277</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">1180</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">1068</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">91 %</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p id="d1e1089">On retrieval, cores were extracted from the drilling tool, capped, sealed
with tape, and labeled according to standard LacCore/CSDCO protocols.
Drilling metadata were captured throughout operations and transferred to
ICDP and to the LacCore Facility for integration with all project datasets.
Cores were passed through a Geotek MSCL-S with a magnetic susceptibility loop
sensor after drilling, for high-speed, low-resolution assessment of
stratigraphic completeness. At the conclusion of drilling, cores were crated
and shipped via air freight to the LacCore Facility at the University of
Minnesota for processing, description, scanning, subsampling, and permanent
curation in the LacCore repository in refrigerated conditions (4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>C).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{5}?><label>Figure 5</label><caption><p id="d1e1104">Downhole logging data of the 1A borehole: Cal1 and Cal2 – caliper (in
millimeters); GR – gamma ray; MSusz – microsusceptibility; Fel – focussed electric
resistivity; vp – compressional velocity; lithology from core. Lithology
legend in Fig. 8.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://sd.copernicus.org/articles/26/1/2019/sd-26-1-2019-f05.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{6}?><label>Figure 6</label><caption><p id="d1e1115">Wavelet analysis (Gouhier et al., 2018; <bold>b</bold>) of (total) gamma
ray data <bold>(a)</bold> from the upper 300 m of Lake Chalco sediments. Red colors
indicate strong cyclic behavior and black markings indicate the results of
a significance test. White coloring indicates the cone of influence.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://sd.copernicus.org/articles/26/1/2019/sd-26-1-2019-f06.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7"><?xmltex \currentcnt{7}?><label>Figure 7</label><caption><p id="d1e1132">Core recovery from holes 1A, 1B, 1C, and 1D.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=213.395669pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://sd.copernicus.org/articles/26/1/2019/sd-26-1-2019-f07.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <label>3.2</label><title>Downhole logging</title>
      <p id="d1e1149">The Leibniz Institute for Applied Geophysics (LIAG) conducted geophysical
downhole logging in the 1A borehole. Initially, the upper section (0–195 m) was logged, and after drilling of the second part down to 420 m, the
logging was completed to total depth. The following tools (measurements)
were run: spectral gamma ray (SGR: total gamma ray; potassium, uranium,
thorium), magnetic susceptibility (Susz: susceptibility with standard and
micro resolution), focused electric resistivity (Fel), dipmeter (caliper and
resistivity), acoustic borehole televiewer (borehole image), sonic (velocity
vp), as well as salinity and temperature. All the instruments – except the SGR –
require an open hole. Therefore, after measuring the SGR through the pipe
over the complete depth, the drill string was pulled successively to
guarantee the stability of the borehole, and the remaining tools were run.
The first data processing step is to splice the data to produce a continuous
log over full depth. Figure 5 shows some of the geophysical properties over
the complete length (0–420 m) of the 1A borehole. Gaps within the logs
were caused mostly by challenging borehole conditions. Gamma ray data show
quasi-cyclic variations in different period ranges, possibly representing
glacial–interglacial to sub-orbital climate<?pagebreak page9?> variations (cycles). This is
also depicted in a wavelet analysis plot (Fig. 6), showing that
variability in the range below <inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m is quite consistent
throughout the upper 300 m. In contrast, longer cycles are dominantly
present in the lower interval from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">150</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to 300 m depth. The
magnetic susceptibility responds primarily to volcanic material in this
location. As a result, it is generally low above <inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">250</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m, with
few spikes reflecting volcanic events (tephra layers or aquatic influx of
volcanic material). The increase in resistivity and velocity reflects the
higher degree of compaction with increasing depth.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{8}?><label>Figure 8</label><caption><p id="d1e1184">Selected results from the initial core description of
MEXI-CHA16-1A, including lithology, color, density, and magnetic
susceptibility. The broad shifts from diatomaceous to carbonaceous sediments
are possibly associated with glacial–interglacial cycles, with relatively
wetter times associated with Northern Hemisphere glaciation.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=369.885827pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://sd.copernicus.org/articles/26/1/2019/sd-26-1-2019-f08.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <label>4</label><title>Outreach and education</title>
      <p id="d1e1203">Outreach and education efforts in conjunction with the MexiDrill program
succeeded in making the project known to members of the general public and
providing coring-related educational activities to primary and secondary
school children. We developed a logo by providing input to an online design
firm (<uri>https://thelogocompany.net/</uri>, last access: 20 January 2016); we use this logo consistently across
presentations and social media and have made stickers to distribute in
Mexico, the US, Spain, and Germany to participating institutions, outreach
events, and scientific meetings. The project Facebook page has over 600
followers, two-thirds of whom are from Mexico. We also developed a custom
field trip in both English and Spanish for the NSF-funded Flyover Country
mobile app for geoscience (<uri>https://flyovercountry.io/</uri>, last access: 5 June 2019) that includes the
drilling site, information about the goals and successes of the project, and
numerous local geological attractions in the Chalco area. The sites on this
field trip are discoverable by anyone using Flyover Country to investigate
the Mexico City region; the app has over 200 000 downloads. In collaboration
with a UNAM faculty member, Ane María Soler, we developed an
engaging activity (“coring” layers of red polymer or gelatin) for local
primary school students, along with a Spanish language presentation about
the MexiDrill project; the activity and presentation have been used with
hundreds of additional students in the time since the drilling took place.
Finally, the project benefited tremendously by building on many years<?pagebreak page10?> of
discussions between the UNAM faculty (Caballero, Lozano, Ortega, and others)
and community leaders of the <italic>ejidos</italic>, communal agricultural land that surrounded
the drilling site.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><fig id="Ch1.F9" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{9}?><label>Figure 9</label><caption><p id="d1e1217">Representative lithologies. These include
organic-rich sediments (O; MEXI-CHA16-1A-76Y-1 32–42 cm) including
organic-rich silty clays, sapropelic silty clays, and peat;
diatomaceous silty clays, which may be laminated (Dl; MEXI-CHA16-1C-140Y-1
99–109 cm), banded (Db; MEXI-CHA16-1A-169Y-1 83–93 cm), and mottled (Dm;
MEXI-CHA16-1D-10C-2 30–40 cm);
calcareous silty clays, which may be banded (Cb; MEXI-CHA16-1D-11C-13
90–100 cm), mottled (Cm; MEXI-CHA16-1B-14Y-1-A 143–153 cm), or massive (Co;
MEXI-CHA16-1C-174Y-1 132–142 cm);
gastropod-dominated coquina (C; MEXI-CHA16-1C-174Y-1 132–142 cm);
clastic sediments including silty clays (Sc; MEXI-CHA16- 1A-27Y-1-A
56–66 cm), sand (S; MEXI-CHA16-1C-178Y-1 49–59 cm), and gravel (G;
MEXI-CHA16-1C-182Y-1 13–23 cm);
basalt (B; MEXI-CHA16-1C-231Y-1 50–60 cm);
volcaniclastic deposits including pyroclastic flows, lahars, and reworked
volcanics (V; MEXI-CHA16-1B-181Y-1 70–80 cm and MEXI-CHA16-1B-177Y-1
50–60 cm); and
igneous rock composed of massive cemented volcanic rocks (I;
MEXI-CHA16-1A-269Y-1-A 93–103 cm and MEXI-CHA16-1A-271Y-1-A 105–115 cm).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=355.659449pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://sd.copernicus.org/articles/26/1/2019/sd-26-1-2019-f09.png"/>

      </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5">
  <label>5</label><title>Initial core description results</title>
      <?pagebreak page12?><p id="d1e1234">Initial core description (ICD) was undertaken in the summer and fall of 2016.
After whole-core multisensor logging (Geotek Multisensor Core Logger) for
gamma density, acoustic wave velocity, electrical resistivity, loop-sensor
magnetic susceptibility, and natural gamma cores were split lengthwise into
work and archive halves. The core faces were cleaned for optical imaging,
split-core multisensor logging with high-resolution point sensor magnetic
susceptibility and color reflectance spectrophotometry, lithologic
description of the archive half, and subsampling of the work half.
Lithologic description included both visual core description (texture,
bedding, color, structure, and other features) and petrographic smear slide
and coarse fraction analysis for mineralogy and other microscopic
constituents.</p>
      <p id="d1e1237">A splice (composite core) was developed from the four 2016 cores and
portions of drill cores recovered through earlier shallow drilling campaigns
in 2008 and 2011 at a site <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">450</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> m south-southwest of the 2016
drill site (Torres-Rodríguez et al., 2015; Herrera-Hernández,
2011). Metadata for the splice follow standard IODP protocols using splice
and affine tables. An initial core stratigraphy was developed, and is
summarized, along with logging data in Fig. 8.</p>
      <p id="d1e1250">Lithotypes were defined based on lithologies and textures determined by
macroscopic examination and microscope smear slide observations. The broad
range of depositional environments is reflected in the variety of lithotypes
present in the core (Fig. 9).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S6" sec-type="conclusions">
  <label>6</label><title>Conclusions</title>
      <p id="d1e1261">The cores recovered by the MexiDrill project will provide information on the
history of climate, environmental change, and volcanism over the past
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">400</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> kyr. In particular, the Chalco Basin is sensitive to
changes in evaporation–precipitation balance that will provide key
perspectives for evaluation of the impact of ongoing climate change on water
resource availability in the Mexico City region.</p>
      <p id="d1e1274">Changes in hydrological balance are being evaluated using a combination of
proxies based on sedimentology and sediment composition (e.g., carbonate
preservation), pollen and diatom records, and the stable isotope composition
of bulk OM, carbonates, diatom silica, and leaf waxes. XRF core scanning
provides insights into carbonate deposition (Ca), diatom abundance (Si : Ti),
and weathering intensity/sediment provenance (K : Ti). Variations in
temperature will be examined through terrestrial and aquatic biomarkers in
conjunction with pollen and microfossil records.</p>
      <p id="d1e1277">We will test the hypothesis that climate change drove the observed
variations in glaciation by assessing the relative contribution of
temperature (as measured by biomarkers) and precipitation (stable isotopes)
to the change in glacial extent. An alternative hypothesis is that lake
levels at Chalco responded to changes in basin morphology caused by volcanic
activity (Siebe et al., 2017). For example, it is possible that MIS 2 appears
less humid than MIS 6 and 8 in the Chalco record because topographic
changes, associated with volcanism just north of Chalco (Sierra de Santa
Caterina), decreased water flow from Chalco to the rest of the BoM lake
system to the north and effectively made Chalco a closed-basin lake. We will
evaluate this alternative by analyzing H isotopes in aquatic biomarkers to
investigate potential shifts from open- to closed-basin hydrology (perhaps
as a consequence of volcanic activity) and compare these results with
broad-scale changes in precipitation inferred using H isotope analysis of
terrestrial biomarkers, as well as through evidence from the volcanic
deposits present in the core.</p>
      <p id="d1e1280"><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>Extrapolation of radiocarbon-based sedimentation rates (Lozano-García
et al., 2015) suggests that the Chalco record extends to MIS 9, which allows
comparison of the regional response to precessional forcing during a warm
interglacial (MIS 5e) with the response during cooler interglacials (MIS 7c
and 7e). We will address this hypothesis using time series analysis of
lake-level reconstruction and other proxies, including isotopes (biomarker
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">D</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, diatom <inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">O</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, carbonate <inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">δ</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">18</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">O</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and
vegetation response (biomarker distributions and pollen abundance). If lake
level/precipitation does not vary on precessional scales, it is difficult to
argue that this pattern of greater precipitation during increased regional
insolation would operate on a millennial scale. We will evaluate the
relative influences of Northern Hemisphere ice sheets, insolation, and
CO<inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:msub><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:math></inline-formula> on precipitation in central Mexico using band pass filtering and
spectral analysis of these proxy records.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="dataavailability"><title>Data availability</title>

      <p id="d1e1333">Preliminary data outlined in this report are not publicly available as they
are still being evaluated by the MexiDrill project team. Fully vetted
datasets from the MexiDrill cores will be made available through LacCore,
the National Lacustrine Core Repository, consistent with NSF and ICDP data
sharing policies.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="sampleavailability"><title>Sample availability</title>

      <p id="d1e1339">The archive and working halves of the MexiDrill (CHA16) cores are stored at
LacCore (<uri>http://lrc.geo.umn.edu/laccore/repository.html</uri>; Noren, 2019).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="teamlist"><title>Team list</title>

      <p id="d1e1348">Rodrigo Martínez Abarca (Instituto de Geología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. Cd. de México, 04510, Mexico), Angeles Ortíz Beltrán (Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Cd. de México, 04510, Mexico), Cecilia Caballero (Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Cd. de México, 04510, Mexico), Laura Cappio (Large Lakes Observatory &amp; Dept of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Minnesota Duluth, Duluth,
MN 55812, USA), Rafael Cossio (Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Cd. de México, 04510, Mexico), Troy Ferland (Department of Geology and Environmental Science, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA 15260, USA; Department of Geosciences, Pennsylvania State University, University
Park, PA 16802, USA), Katja Hesse (Leibniz Institute of Applied Geophysics, Stilleweg 2, 30655 Hannover, Germany), Jens Kallmeyer (Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum, Helmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam,
Geomikrobiologie, 14473 Potsdam, Germany), Dervla Kumar (Department of Geology and Environmental Science, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA 15260, USA; Department of Geosciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85719,
USA), Sandra García Leon (Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Cd. de México, 04510, Mexico), Ivan Martínez (Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Cd. de México, 04510, Mexico), Carmen Acosta Noriega (Instituto de Geología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. Cd. de México, 04510, Mexico), Frank Preusser (Institut für Geo- und Umweltnaturwissenschaften,
Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg, 79104, Freiburg, Germany), Harriet Rawson<?pagebreak page13?> (Department of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, OX1 3AN, Oxford,  UK), Ana María Soler (Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Cd. de México, 04510, Mexico), Susana Sosa-Nájera (Instituto de Geología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. Cd. de México, 04510, Mexico), Diana Avendaño Villeda (Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Cd. de México, 04510, Mexico), and Christian Zeeden (Leibniz Institute of Applied Geophysics, Stilleweg 2, 30655 Hannover, Germany).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d1e1354">ETB, MC, ECC, PJF, SLG, BO, LP, AS, VS, BAS, MS, BVG, SW, NJW, JPW, TW, and
AJN designed the research. ETB, MC, CC,
PJF, SLG, BO, LP, AS, VS, BAS, AMS,
MS,
BVG, SW, NJW, JPW, TW, AEM, AJN, RO'G, and DS performed the research. ETB, MC,
PJF, SLG, BO, LP, AS, VS, BAS, MS, BVG, SW, NJW, JPW, TW, CZ, and AJN
analyzed the data. ETB, MC, PJF, SLG, BO, LP, AS, VS, BAS, MS, BVG, SW, NJW,
JPW, TW, CZ,
AEM, and AJN wrote the paper.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d1e1360">The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="disclaimer"><title>Disclaimer</title>

      <p id="d1e1367">Any opinions, findings, or conclusions of this study represent the views of the authors.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e1373">This research was supported by research funding from the US NSF, UNAM, ICDP, and the Swiss NSF. Mark Brenner's careful reading and thoughtful suggestions
improved the manuscript.</p></ack><notes notes-type="financialsupport"><title>Financial support</title>

      <p id="d1e1378">This research has been supported by the ICDP (grant  2014/05), the US-NSF EAR (grant nos. 1803725, 1551311, 1804858, 1551429, and 1804429), the UNAM (grant nos. UNAM-DGAPA PAPIIT-IV100215 and IN103819), and the Swiss NSF (grant no. P300P2 158501).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="reviewstatement"><title>Review statement</title>

      <p id="d1e1384">This paper was edited by Ulrich Harms and reviewed by Mark Brenner and one anonymous referee.</p>
  </notes><ref-list>
    <title>References</title>

      <ref id="bib1.bib1"><label>1</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Abram, N. J., McGregor, H. V., Tierney, J., Evans, M., McKay, N., Kaufman, D.,
and the PAGES 2k Consortium: Early onset of industrial-era warming across
the oceans and continents, Nature, 536, 411–418, 2016.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib2"><label>2</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Adams, D. K. and Comrie, A. C.: The North American Monsoon, B. Am.
Meteorol. Soc., 78, 2197–2215, 1997.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib3"><label>3</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Arce, J., Cervantes, K., Macias, J., and Mora, J.: The 12.1 ka Middle Toluca
Pumice: a dacitic Plinian-subplinian eruption of Nevado de Toluca in Central
Mexico, J. Volcanol. Geoth. Res., 147, 125–143, 2005.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib4"><label>4</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Arce, J., Layer, P., Lassiter, J., Benowitz, J., Macias, J., and
Ramirez-Espinosa, J.: <inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">40</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ar</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">39</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Ar</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> dating, geochemistry, and isotopic analyses
of the quaternary Chichinautzin volcanic field, south of Mexico City:
implications for timing, eruption rate, and distribution of volcanism, B.
Volcanol., 75, 774, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s00445-013-0774-6" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1007/s00445-013-0774-6</ext-link>, 2013.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib5"><label>5</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Barker, S., Knorr, G., Edwards, R. L., Parrenin, F., Putnam, A. E., Skinner,
L. C., Wolff, E., and Ziegler, M.: 800 000 years of abrupt climate
variability, Science, 334, 347–351, 2011.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib6"><label>6</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Bhattacharya, T., Tierney, J., and DiNezio, P.: Glacial reduction of the
North American Monsoon via surface cooling and atmospheric ventilation,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 5113–5122, 2017.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib7"><label>7</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Bradbury, J. P.: Late Quaternary lacustrine paleoenvironments in the Cuenca de Mexico, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 8, 75–100, 1989.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib8"><label>8</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Bradbury, J. P.: Limnologic history of Lago de Patzcuaro, Michoacan, Mexico
for the past 48 000 years: impacts of climate and man, Palaeogeogr.
Palaeocl., 163, 69–95, 2000.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib9"><label>9</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Bücker, M., Lozano García, S., Ortega Guerrero, B., Caballero
Miranda, M., Pérez, L., Caballero García, L., Pita de la Paz, C.,
Sánchez-Galindo, C., Villegas, F. J., Flores Orozco, A., Brown, E., Werne,
J., Valero Garcés, B., Schwalb, A., Kemna, A., Sánchez-Alvaro, E.,
Launizar-Martínez, N., Valverde-Placencia, A., and Garay-Jiménez,
F.: Geoelectrical and electromagnetic methods applied to paleolimnological
studies: two examples from dessicated lakes in the basin of Mexico, Bol.
Soc. Geol. Mex., 69, 279–298, 2017.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib10"><label>10</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Caballero, M. and Ortega Guerrero, B.: Lake levels since about 40 000 years
ago at lake Chalco, near Mexico City, Quaternary Res., 50, 69–79, 1998.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib11"><label>11</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Caballero Miranda, M.: Reconstrucción paleolimnológica del Lago de
Chalco durante el último máximo glaciar, el registro de diatomeas
entre 34 000 y 15,000 años A.P., Rev. Mex. Cienc. Geol., 14, 91–100,
1997.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib12"><label>12</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Cabral-Cano, E., Dixon, T., Miralles-Wilhelm, M., Sánchez-Zamora, O.,
Díaz-Molina, O., and Carande, R.: Space Geodetic Imaging of Rapid
Ground Subsidence in México City, Geol. Soc. Am. Bull., 120, 1556–1566, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1130/B26001.1" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1130/B26001.1</ext-link>, 2008.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib13"><label>13</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Cabral-Cano, E., Osmanoglu, B., Dixon, T., Wdowinski, S., DeMets, C., Cigna,
F., and Díaz-Molina, O.: Subsidence and fault hazard maps using PSI and
permanent GPS networks in central Mexico, in: IAHS-AISH Publication, 8th International Symposium on Land Subsidence, EISOLS, 17 October 2010, Santiago de Queretaro, Mexico, vol. 339,
255–259, 2010.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib14"><label>14</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Campos-Enriquez, J. O., Delgado-Rodríguez, O., Chavez-Segura, R.,
Gomez-Contrera, P., Flores-Maruez, E. L., and Birch, F. S.: The subsurface
structure of the Chalco sub-basin (Mexico City) inferred from geophysical
data, Geophys., 62, 23–35, 1997.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib15"><label>15</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Chiang, J. C. H.: The Tropics in Paleoclimate, Annu. Rev. Earth. Pl. Sc.,
37, 263–297, 2009.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib16"><label>16</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Chiang, J. C. H. and Friedman, A.: Extratropical Cooling, Interhemispheric Thermal
Gradients, and Tropical Climate Change, Annu. Rev. Earth Pl. Sc., 40,
383–412, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-042711-105545" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1146/annurev-earth-042711-105545</ext-link>, 2012.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib17"><label>17</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Correa-Metrio, A., Lozano-García, S., Xelhuantz-Lopez, S., Sosa-Najera,
S., and Metcalfe, S. E.: Vegetation in western Central Mexico during the last
50 000 years: modern analogs and climate in the Zacapu Basin, J. Quaternary Sci.,
27, 509–518, 2012.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <?pagebreak page14?><ref id="bib1.bib18"><label>18</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Correa-Metrio, A., Bush, M., Lozano-García, S., and Sosa-Nájera, S.:
Millennial-Scale Temperature Change Velocity in the Continental Northern
Neotropics, PLoS ONE, 8, e81958, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0081958" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1371/journal.pone.0081958</ext-link>, 2013.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib19"><label>19</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Friese, A., Kallmeyer, J., Axel Kitte, J., Montaño Martínez, I.,
Bijaksana, S., and Wagner, D.: A simple and inexpensive technique for
assessing contamination during drilling operations, Limnol. Oceanogr. Meth.,
15, 200–211, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1002/lom3.10159" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1002/lom3.10159</ext-link>, 2017.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib20"><label>20</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Gobierno del Distrito Federal: Normas técnicas complementarias para
diseño y construcción de cimentaciones. Gaceta Oficial del Distrito
Federal, Mexico City, Mexico, 103–BIS, 11–39, 2004.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib21"><label>21</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Gouhier, T., Grinsted, A., and Simko, V.: R package biwavelet: Conduct Univariate and Bivariate Wavelet Analyses (Version 0.20.17), available at: <uri>https://github.com/tgouhier/biwavelet</uri> (last access: 25 June 2019), 2018.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib22"><label>22</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Harris, I., Jones, P., Osborn, T., and Lister, D.: Updated high-resolution
grids of monthly climatic observations – the CRU TS3.10 Dataset, Int. J.
Climatol., 34, 623–642, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3711" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1002/joc.3711</ext-link>, 2014.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib23"><label>23</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Hernández-Moedano, G. and Grauel, M. D.: Levantamiento gravimetrico en el
Valle de Mexico, Informe Technico para el INIC, Mexico City, Mexico, 30 pp., 1954.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib24"><label>24</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Herrera-Hernández, D.: Estratigrafía y análisis de facies de los
sedimentos lacustres del Cuaternario tardío de la cuenca de Chalco,
México, MSc Thesis, Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional
Autónoma de México, Mexico City, Mexico, 122 pp., 2011.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib25"><label>25</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Hodell, D. A., Anselmetti, F. S., Ariztegui, D., Brenner, M., Curtis, J. H.,
Gilli, A., Grzesik, D. A., Guilderson, T. J., Müller, A. D., Bush, M. B.,
Correa-Metrio, A., Escobar, J., and Kutterolf, S.: An 85-ka record of
climate change in lowland Central America, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 27, 1152–1165,
2008.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib26"><label>26</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Kimmelman, M.: Mexico City, Parched and Sinking, Faces a Water Crisis, New
York Times, 17 February 2017, New York City, USA, 2017.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib27"><label>27</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Krivochieva, S. and Chouteau, M.: Integrating TDEM and MT methods for
characterization and delineation of the Santa Catarina aquifer (Chalco
Sub-Basin, Mexico), J. Appl. Geophys., 52, 23–43, 2003.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib28"><label>28</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Lozano-García, M. S. and Ortega-Guerrero, B.: Palynological and magnetic
susceptibility records of Lake Chalco, central Mexico, Palaeogeogr.
Palaeocl., 109, 177–191, 1994.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib29"><label>29</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Lozano-García, M. S. and Xelhuantzi-Lopez, M. S.: Some problems in the
Late Quaternary pollen records of central Mexico basins of Mexico and
Zacapu, Quatern. Int., 43, 117–123, 1997.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib30"><label>30</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Lozano-García, M. S., Ortega-Guerrero, B., Caballero-Miranda, M., and
Urrutia-Fucugauchi, J.: Late Pleistocene and Holocene Paleoenvironments of
Chalco Lake, Central Mexico, Quaternary Res., 40, 332–342, 1993.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib31"><label>31</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Lozano-García, M., Ortega, B., Roy, P., Beramendi-Orosco, L., and
Caballero, M.: Climatic variability in the northern sector of the American
tropics since the latest MIS 3, Quaternary Res., 84, 262–271, 2015.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib32"><label>32</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Magaña, V. O., Vazquez, J. L., Pérez, J. L., and Pérez, J. B.:
Impact of El Niño on precipitation in Mexico, Geofis. Int., 42, 313–330,
2003.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib33"><label>33</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Metcalfe, S. E., O'Hara, S. L., Caballero, M., and Davies, S. J.: Records of
Late Pleistocene-Holocene climatic change in Mexico – A review, Quaternary Sci.
Rev., 19, 699–721, 2000.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib34"><label>34</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Metcalfe, S. E., Davies, S. J., Braisby, J. D., Leng, M. J., Newton, A. J., and
Terrett, N. L.: Long and short-term change in the Patzcuaro Basin, central
Mexico, Palaeogeogr. Palaeocl., 247, 272–295, 2007.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib35"><label>35</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Metcalfe, S. E., Barron, J. A., and Davies, S. J.: The Holocene history of
the North American Monsoon: “known knowns” and “known unknowns” in
understanding its spatial and temporal complexity, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 120,
1–27, 2015.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib36"><label>36</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Mingram, J., Negendank, J. F., Brauer, A., Berger, D., Hendrich, A.,
Köhler, M., and Usinger, H.: Long cores from small lakes – recovering up
to 100 m-long lake sediment sequences with a high-precision rod-operated
piston corer (Usinger-corer), J. Paleolimnol., 37, 517–528, 2007.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib37"><label>37</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Nakamura, Y.: A method for dynamic characteristics estimation of subsurface
using microtremoron the ground surface, Quarterly Report of RTRI, 30, 25–30,
1989.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib38"><label>38</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Nogoshi, M. and Igarashi, T.: On the amplitude characteristics of
microtremor (part 2), J. Seismol. Soc.
Jpn., 24, 26–40, 1971 (in Japanese with English abstract).</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib39"><label>39</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Noren, A.: LacCore, National Lacustrine Core Facility, available at: <uri>http://lrc.geo.umn.edu/laccore/repository.html</uri>, last access: 30 June 2019.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib40"><label>40</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Ortega-Guerrero, B. and Newton, A.: Geochemical Characterization of Late Pleistocene and Holocene Tephra Layers from the Basin of Mexico, Central Mexico, Quaternary Res., 50, 90–106, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1006/qres.1998.1975" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1006/qres.1998.1975</ext-link>, 1998.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib41"><label>41</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Ortiz-Zamora, D. and Ortega-Guerrero, A.: Evolution of long-term land
subsidence near Mexico City: Review, field investigations, and predictive
simulations, Water Resour. Res., 46, W01513, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2008WR007398" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1029/2008WR007398</ext-link>, 2010.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib42"><label>42</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Pérez, E. P., Magaña, V., Caetano, E., and Kusunoki, S.: Cold surge
activity over the Gulf of Mexico in a warmer climate, Front. Earth Sci., 2,
19, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2014.00019" ext-link-type="DOI">10.3389/feart.2014.00019</ext-link>, 2014.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib43"><label>43</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Reding, P. J.: The central American cold surge: an observational analysis of
the deep southward penetration of North American cold fronts, MS Thesis,
Texas A&amp;M University, College Station, TX, USA, 177 pp., 1992.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib44"><label>44</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Schneider, U., Ziese, M., Meyer-Christoffer, A., Finger, P., Rustemeier, E., and Becker, A.: The new portfolio of global precipitation data products of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre suitable to assess and quantify the global water cycle and resources, Proc. IAHS, 374, 29–34, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-374-29-2016" ext-link-type="DOI">10.5194/piahs-374-29-2016</ext-link>, 2016.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib45"><label>45</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Sears, P. B. and Clisby, K. H.: Two long climate records, Science, 116,
176–178, 1952.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib46"><label>46</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
SESAME: Guidelines for the implementation of the H/V spectral ratio
technique on ambient vibrations measurements, processing and interpretation,
SESAME European Research Project, Brussels, Belgium, Deliverable D23.12, 62 pp., 2005.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib47"><label>47</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Siebe, C. and Macias, J. L.: Volcanic hazards in the Mexico City metropolitan
area from eruptions at Popocatépetl, Nevado de Toluca, and Jocotitlan
stratovolcanoes and monogenetic scoria cones in the Sierra Chichinautzin
Volcanic Field, Geol. Soc. Am. Spec. Pap., 402, 253–329, 2006.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib48"><label>48</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Siebe, C., Salinas, S., Arana-Salinas, L., Macias, J. L., Gardner, J., and
Bonasia, R.: The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">23</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> 500 y 14C BP White Pumic<?pagebreak page15?>e eruption and
associated debris avalanche and Tochimilco lava flow of Popocatepetl
volcano, Mexico, J. Volcanol. Geoth. Res., 333–334, 66–95, <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2017.01.011" ext-link-type="DOI">10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2017.01.011</ext-link>, 2017.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib49"><label>49</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Stahle, D. W., Cook, E., Burnette, D., Villanueva, J., Cerano, J., Burns, J.,
Griffin, D., Cook, B., Acuna, R., Torbenson, M., Szejner, P., and Howard, I.:
The Mexican Drought Atlas: Tree-ring reconstructions of the soil moisture
balance during the late pre-Hispanic, colonial, and modern eras, Quaternary Sci.
Rev., 149, 34–60, 2016.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib50"><label>50</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Torres-Rodríguez, E., Lozano-García, S., Roy, P., Ortega, B.,
Beramendi-Orosco, L., Correa-Metrio, A., and Caballero, M.: Last Glacial
droughts and fire regimes in the central Mexican highlands, J. Quaternary Sci.,
30, 88–99, 2015.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib51"><label>51</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Urrutia-Fucugauchi, J., Lozano, S., Ortega-Guerrero, B., Caballero, M., Böhnel, H., Hansen, R., and Negendank, J. F. W.: Paleomagnetic and paleoenvironmental studies in the
southern basin of Mexico – I. Volcanosedimentary sequence and basin structure
of Chalco Lake, Geofis. Int., 33, 421–444, 1994.
 </mixed-citation></ref><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
      <ref id="bib1.bib52"><label>52</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Urrutia Fucugauchi, J., Lozano García, S., Ortega Guerrero, B., and
Caballero Miranda, M.: Paleomagnetic and paleoenvironmental studies in the
southern basin of Mexico: II. Late Pleistocene-Holocene Chalco lacustrine
record, Geofis. Int., 34, 33–53, 1995.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib53"><label>53</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>
Vasquez-Selem, L. and Heine, K.: Late Quaternary Glaciation in Mexico, in:
(Eds) Quaternary Glaciations – Extent and Chronology. A Closer Look, edited
by: Elhers, J., Gibbard, P. L., and Hughes, P. D., Elsevier, Amsterdam,
the Netherlands, 849–861, 2011.</mixed-citation></ref>
      <ref id="bib1.bib54"><label>54</label><?label 1?><mixed-citation>Willmott, C. J. and Matsuura, K.: Terrestrial Air Temperature and
Precipitation: Monthly and Annual Time Series (1950–1999), available at: <uri>http://climate.geog.udel.edu/~climate/html_pages/README.ghcn_ts2.html</uri> (last access: 15 June 2019), 2001.</mixed-citation></ref>

  </ref-list></back>
    <!--<article-title-html>Scientific drilling of Lake Chalco, Basin of Mexico (MexiDrill)</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p>The primary scientific objective of MexiDrill, the Basin of Mexico
Drilling Program, is development of a continuous, high-resolution
 ∼ 400&thinsp;kyr lacustrine record of tropical North American
environmental change. The field location, in the densely populated,
water-stressed Mexico City region gives this record particular societal
relevance. A detailed paleoclimate reconstruction from central Mexico will
enhance our understanding of long-term natural climate variability in the
North American tropics and its relationship with changes at higher latitudes.
The site lies at the northern margin of the Intertropical Convergence Zone
(ITCZ), where modern precipitation amounts are influenced by sea surface
temperatures in the Pacific and Atlantic basins. During the Last Glacial
Maximum (LGM), more winter precipitation at the site is hypothesized to have been
a consequence of a southward displacement of the mid-latitude westerlies. It
thus represents a key spatial node for understanding large-scale
hydrological variability of tropical and subtropical North America and is
at an altitude (2240&thinsp;m&thinsp;a.s.l.), typical of much of western North America. In addition, its sediments contain a rich record of pre-Holocene volcanic
history; knowledge of the magnitude and frequency relationships of the
area's explosive volcanic eruptions will improve capacity for risk
assessment of future activity. Explosive eruption deposits will also be used
to provide the backbone of a robust chronology necessary for full
exploitation of the paleoclimate record. Here we report initial results
from, and outreach activities of, the 2016 coring campaign.</p></abstract-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation>
Abram, N. J., McGregor, H. V., Tierney, J., Evans, M., McKay, N., Kaufman, D.,
and the PAGES 2k Consortium: Early onset of industrial-era warming across
the oceans and continents, Nature, 536, 411–418, 2016.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib2"><label>2</label><mixed-citation>
Adams, D. K. and Comrie, A. C.: The North American Monsoon, B. Am.
Meteorol. Soc., 78, 2197–2215, 1997.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib3"><label>3</label><mixed-citation>
Arce, J., Cervantes, K., Macias, J., and Mora, J.: The 12.1&thinsp;ka Middle Toluca
Pumice: a dacitic Plinian-subplinian eruption of Nevado de Toluca in Central
Mexico, J. Volcanol. Geoth. Res., 147, 125–143, 2005.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib4"><label>4</label><mixed-citation>
Arce, J., Layer, P., Lassiter, J., Benowitz, J., Macias, J., and
Ramirez-Espinosa, J.: <sup>40</sup>Ar∕<sup>39</sup>Ar dating, geochemistry, and isotopic analyses
of the quaternary Chichinautzin volcanic field, south of Mexico City:
implications for timing, eruption rate, and distribution of volcanism, B.
Volcanol., 75, 774, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/s00445-013-0774-6" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1007/s00445-013-0774-6</a>, 2013.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib5"><label>5</label><mixed-citation>
Barker, S., Knorr, G., Edwards, R. L., Parrenin, F., Putnam, A. E., Skinner,
L. C., Wolff, E., and Ziegler, M.: 800&thinsp;000 years of abrupt climate
variability, Science, 334, 347–351, 2011.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib6"><label>6</label><mixed-citation>
Bhattacharya, T., Tierney, J., and DiNezio, P.: Glacial reduction of the
North American Monsoon via surface cooling and atmospheric ventilation,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 5113–5122, 2017.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib7"><label>7</label><mixed-citation>
Bradbury, J. P.: Late Quaternary lacustrine paleoenvironments in the Cuenca de Mexico, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 8, 75–100, 1989.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib8"><label>8</label><mixed-citation>
Bradbury, J. P.: Limnologic history of Lago de Patzcuaro, Michoacan, Mexico
for the past 48&thinsp;000 years: impacts of climate and man, Palaeogeogr.
Palaeocl., 163, 69–95, 2000.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib9"><label>9</label><mixed-citation>
Bücker, M., Lozano García, S., Ortega Guerrero, B., Caballero
Miranda, M., Pérez, L., Caballero García, L., Pita de la Paz, C.,
Sánchez-Galindo, C., Villegas, F. J., Flores Orozco, A., Brown, E., Werne,
J., Valero Garcés, B., Schwalb, A., Kemna, A., Sánchez-Alvaro, E.,
Launizar-Martínez, N., Valverde-Placencia, A., and Garay-Jiménez,
F.: Geoelectrical and electromagnetic methods applied to paleolimnological
studies: two examples from dessicated lakes in the basin of Mexico, Bol.
Soc. Geol. Mex., 69, 279–298, 2017.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib10"><label>10</label><mixed-citation>
Caballero, M. and Ortega Guerrero, B.: Lake levels since about 40&thinsp;000 years
ago at lake Chalco, near Mexico City, Quaternary Res., 50, 69–79, 1998.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib11"><label>11</label><mixed-citation>
Caballero Miranda, M.: Reconstrucción paleolimnológica del Lago de
Chalco durante el último&thinsp;máximo glaciar, el registro de diatomeas
entre 34&thinsp;000 y 15,000 años A.P., Rev. Mex. Cienc. Geol., 14, 91–100,
1997.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib12"><label>12</label><mixed-citation>
Cabral-Cano, E., Dixon, T., Miralles-Wilhelm, M., Sánchez-Zamora, O.,
Díaz-Molina, O., and Carande, R.: Space Geodetic Imaging of Rapid
Ground Subsidence in México City, Geol. Soc. Am. Bull., 120, 1556–1566, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1130/B26001.1" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1130/B26001.1</a>, 2008.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib13"><label>13</label><mixed-citation>
Cabral-Cano, E., Osmanoglu, B., Dixon, T., Wdowinski, S., DeMets, C., Cigna,
F., and Díaz-Molina, O.: Subsidence and fault hazard maps using PSI and
permanent GPS networks in central Mexico, in: IAHS-AISH Publication, 8th International Symposium on Land Subsidence, EISOLS, 17 October 2010, Santiago de Queretaro, Mexico, vol. 339,
255–259, 2010.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib14"><label>14</label><mixed-citation>
Campos-Enriquez, J. O., Delgado-Rodríguez, O., Chavez-Segura, R.,
Gomez-Contrera, P., Flores-Maruez, E. L., and Birch, F. S.: The subsurface
structure of the Chalco sub-basin (Mexico City) inferred from geophysical
data, Geophys., 62, 23–35, 1997.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib15"><label>15</label><mixed-citation>
Chiang, J. C. H.: The Tropics in Paleoclimate, Annu. Rev. Earth. Pl. Sc.,
37, 263–297, 2009.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib16"><label>16</label><mixed-citation>
Chiang, J. C. H. and Friedman, A.: Extratropical Cooling, Interhemispheric Thermal
Gradients, and Tropical Climate Change, Annu. Rev. Earth Pl. Sc., 40,
383–412, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-042711-105545" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-042711-105545</a>, 2012.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib17"><label>17</label><mixed-citation>
Correa-Metrio, A., Lozano-García, S., Xelhuantz-Lopez, S., Sosa-Najera,
S., and Metcalfe, S. E.: Vegetation in western Central Mexico during the last
50&thinsp;000 years: modern analogs and climate in the Zacapu Basin, J. Quaternary Sci.,
27, 509–518, 2012.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib18"><label>18</label><mixed-citation>
Correa-Metrio, A., Bush, M., Lozano-García, S., and Sosa-Nájera, S.:
Millennial-Scale Temperature Change Velocity in the Continental Northern
Neotropics, PLoS ONE, 8, e81958, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0081958" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0081958</a>, 2013.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib19"><label>19</label><mixed-citation>
Friese, A., Kallmeyer, J., Axel Kitte, J., Montaño Martínez, I.,
Bijaksana, S., and Wagner, D.: A simple and inexpensive technique for
assessing contamination during drilling operations, Limnol. Oceanogr. Meth.,
15, 200–211, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/lom3.10159" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1002/lom3.10159</a>, 2017.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib20"><label>20</label><mixed-citation>
Gobierno del Distrito Federal: Normas técnicas complementarias para
diseño y construcción de cimentaciones. Gaceta Oficial del Distrito
Federal, Mexico City, Mexico, 103–BIS, 11–39, 2004.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib21"><label>21</label><mixed-citation>
Gouhier, T., Grinsted, A., and Simko, V.: R package biwavelet: Conduct Univariate and Bivariate Wavelet Analyses (Version 0.20.17), available at: <a href="https://github.com/tgouhier/biwavelet" target="_blank"/> (last access: 25 June 2019), 2018.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib22"><label>22</label><mixed-citation>
Harris, I., Jones, P., Osborn, T., and Lister, D.: Updated high-resolution
grids of monthly climatic observations – the CRU TS3.10 Dataset, Int. J.
Climatol., 34, 623–642, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3711" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3711</a>, 2014.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib23"><label>23</label><mixed-citation>
Hernández-Moedano, G. and Grauel, M. D.: Levantamiento gravimetrico en el
Valle de Mexico, Informe Technico para el INIC, Mexico City, Mexico, 30 pp., 1954.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib24"><label>24</label><mixed-citation>
Herrera-Hernández, D.: Estratigrafía y análisis de facies de los
sedimentos lacustres del Cuaternario tardío de la cuenca de Chalco,
México, MSc Thesis, Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional
Autónoma de México, Mexico City, Mexico, 122 pp., 2011.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib25"><label>25</label><mixed-citation>
Hodell, D. A., Anselmetti, F. S., Ariztegui, D., Brenner, M., Curtis, J. H.,
Gilli, A., Grzesik, D. A., Guilderson, T. J., Müller, A. D., Bush, M. B.,
Correa-Metrio, A., Escobar, J., and Kutterolf, S.: An 85-ka record of
climate change in lowland Central America, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 27, 1152–1165,
2008.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib26"><label>26</label><mixed-citation>
Kimmelman, M.: Mexico City, Parched and Sinking, Faces a Water Crisis, New
York Times, 17 February 2017, New York City, USA, 2017.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib27"><label>27</label><mixed-citation>
Krivochieva, S. and Chouteau, M.: Integrating TDEM and MT methods for
characterization and delineation of the Santa Catarina aquifer (Chalco
Sub-Basin, Mexico), J. Appl. Geophys., 52, 23–43, 2003.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib28"><label>28</label><mixed-citation>
Lozano-García, M. S. and Ortega-Guerrero, B.: Palynological and magnetic
susceptibility records of Lake Chalco, central Mexico, Palaeogeogr.
Palaeocl., 109, 177–191, 1994.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib29"><label>29</label><mixed-citation>
Lozano-García, M. S. and Xelhuantzi-Lopez, M. S.: Some problems in the
Late Quaternary pollen records of central Mexico basins of Mexico and
Zacapu, Quatern. Int., 43, 117–123, 1997.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib30"><label>30</label><mixed-citation>
Lozano-García, M. S., Ortega-Guerrero, B., Caballero-Miranda, M., and
Urrutia-Fucugauchi, J.: Late Pleistocene and Holocene Paleoenvironments of
Chalco Lake, Central Mexico, Quaternary Res., 40, 332–342, 1993.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib31"><label>31</label><mixed-citation>
Lozano-García, M., Ortega, B., Roy, P., Beramendi-Orosco, L., and
Caballero, M.: Climatic variability in the northern sector of the American
tropics since the latest MIS 3, Quaternary Res., 84, 262–271, 2015.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib32"><label>32</label><mixed-citation>
Magaña, V. O., Vazquez, J. L., Pérez, J. L., and Pérez, J. B.:
Impact of El Niño on precipitation in Mexico, Geofis. Int., 42, 313–330,
2003.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib33"><label>33</label><mixed-citation>
Metcalfe, S. E., O'Hara, S. L., Caballero, M., and Davies, S. J.: Records of
Late Pleistocene-Holocene climatic change in Mexico – A review, Quaternary Sci.
Rev., 19, 699–721, 2000.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib34"><label>34</label><mixed-citation>
Metcalfe, S. E., Davies, S. J., Braisby, J. D., Leng, M. J., Newton, A. J., and
Terrett, N. L.: Long and short-term change in the Patzcuaro Basin, central
Mexico, Palaeogeogr. Palaeocl., 247, 272–295, 2007.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib35"><label>35</label><mixed-citation>
Metcalfe, S. E., Barron, J. A., and Davies, S. J.: The Holocene history of
the North American Monsoon: “known knowns” and “known unknowns” in
understanding its spatial and temporal complexity, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 120,
1–27, 2015.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib36"><label>36</label><mixed-citation>
Mingram, J., Negendank, J. F., Brauer, A., Berger, D., Hendrich, A.,
Köhler, M., and Usinger, H.: Long cores from small lakes – recovering up
to 100&thinsp;m-long lake sediment sequences with a high-precision rod-operated
piston corer (Usinger-corer), J. Paleolimnol., 37, 517–528, 2007.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib37"><label>37</label><mixed-citation>
Nakamura, Y.: A method for dynamic characteristics estimation of subsurface
using microtremoron the ground surface, Quarterly Report of RTRI, 30, 25–30,
1989.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib38"><label>38</label><mixed-citation>
Nogoshi, M. and Igarashi, T.: On the amplitude characteristics of
microtremor (part 2), J. Seismol. Soc.
Jpn., 24, 26–40, 1971 (in Japanese with English abstract).
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib39"><label>39</label><mixed-citation>
Noren, A.: LacCore, National Lacustrine Core Facility, available at: <a href="http://lrc.geo.umn.edu/laccore/repository.html" target="_blank"/>, last access: 30 June 2019.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib40"><label>40</label><mixed-citation>
Ortega-Guerrero, B. and Newton, A.: Geochemical Characterization of Late Pleistocene and Holocene Tephra Layers from the Basin of Mexico, Central Mexico, Quaternary Res., 50, 90–106, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1006/qres.1998.1975" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1006/qres.1998.1975</a>, 1998.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib41"><label>41</label><mixed-citation>
Ortiz-Zamora, D. and Ortega-Guerrero, A.: Evolution of long-term land
subsidence near Mexico City: Review, field investigations, and predictive
simulations, Water Resour. Res., 46, W01513, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2008WR007398" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1029/2008WR007398</a>, 2010.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib42"><label>42</label><mixed-citation>
Pérez, E. P., Magaña, V., Caetano, E., and Kusunoki, S.: Cold surge
activity over the Gulf of Mexico in a warmer climate, Front. Earth Sci., 2,
19, <a href="https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2014.00019" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2014.00019</a>, 2014.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib43"><label>43</label><mixed-citation>
Reding, P. J.: The central American cold surge: an observational analysis of
the deep southward penetration of North American cold fronts, MS Thesis,
Texas A&amp;M University, College Station, TX, USA, 177 pp., 1992.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib44"><label>44</label><mixed-citation>
Schneider, U., Ziese, M., Meyer-Christoffer, A., Finger, P., Rustemeier, E., and Becker, A.: The new portfolio of global precipitation data products of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre suitable to assess and quantify the global water cycle and resources, Proc. IAHS, 374, 29–34, <a href="https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-374-29-2016" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-374-29-2016</a>, 2016.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib45"><label>45</label><mixed-citation>
Sears, P. B. and Clisby, K. H.: Two long climate records, Science, 116,
176–178, 1952.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib46"><label>46</label><mixed-citation>
SESAME: Guidelines for the implementation of the H/V spectral ratio
technique on ambient vibrations measurements, processing and interpretation,
SESAME European Research Project, Brussels, Belgium, Deliverable D23.12, 62 pp., 2005.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib47"><label>47</label><mixed-citation>
Siebe, C. and Macias, J. L.: Volcanic hazards in the Mexico City metropolitan
area from eruptions at Popocatépetl, Nevado de Toluca, and Jocotitlan
stratovolcanoes and monogenetic scoria cones in the Sierra Chichinautzin
Volcanic Field, Geol. Soc. Am. Spec. Pap., 402, 253–329, 2006.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib48"><label>48</label><mixed-citation>
Siebe, C., Salinas, S., Arana-Salinas, L., Macias, J. L., Gardner, J., and
Bonasia, R.: The  ∼ 23&thinsp;500 y 14C BP White Pumice eruption and
associated debris avalanche and Tochimilco lava flow of Popocatepetl
volcano, Mexico, J. Volcanol. Geoth. Res., 333–334, 66–95, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2017.01.011" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2017.01.011</a>, 2017.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib49"><label>49</label><mixed-citation>
Stahle, D. W., Cook, E., Burnette, D., Villanueva, J., Cerano, J., Burns, J.,
Griffin, D., Cook, B., Acuna, R., Torbenson, M., Szejner, P., and Howard, I.:
The Mexican Drought Atlas: Tree-ring reconstructions of the soil moisture
balance during the late pre-Hispanic, colonial, and modern eras, Quaternary Sci.
Rev., 149, 34–60, 2016.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib50"><label>50</label><mixed-citation>
Torres-Rodríguez, E., Lozano-García, S., Roy, P., Ortega, B.,
Beramendi-Orosco, L., Correa-Metrio, A., and Caballero, M.: Last Glacial
droughts and fire regimes in the central Mexican highlands, J. Quaternary Sci.,
30, 88–99, 2015.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib51"><label>51</label><mixed-citation>
Urrutia-Fucugauchi, J., Lozano, S., Ortega-Guerrero, B., Caballero, M., Böhnel, H., Hansen, R., and Negendank, J. F. W.: Paleomagnetic and paleoenvironmental studies in the
southern basin of Mexico – I. Volcanosedimentary sequence and basin structure
of Chalco Lake, Geofis. Int., 33, 421–444, 1994.

</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib52"><label>52</label><mixed-citation>
Urrutia Fucugauchi, J., Lozano García, S., Ortega Guerrero, B., and
Caballero Miranda, M.: Paleomagnetic and paleoenvironmental studies in the
southern basin of Mexico: II. Late Pleistocene-Holocene Chalco lacustrine
record, Geofis. Int., 34, 33–53, 1995.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib53"><label>53</label><mixed-citation>
Vasquez-Selem, L. and Heine, K.: Late Quaternary Glaciation in Mexico, in:
(Eds) Quaternary Glaciations – Extent and Chronology. A Closer Look, edited
by: Elhers, J., Gibbard, P. L., and Hughes, P. D., Elsevier, Amsterdam,
the Netherlands, 849–861, 2011.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>
<ref-html id="bib1.bib54"><label>54</label><mixed-citation>
Willmott, C. J. and Matsuura, K.: Terrestrial Air Temperature and
Precipitation: Monthly and Annual Time Series (1950–1999), available at: <a href="http://climate.geog.udel.edu/~climate/html_pages/README.ghcn_ts2.html" target="_blank"/> (last access: 15 June 2019), 2001.
</mixed-citation></ref-html>--></article>
